Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000164 0.000176 0.000190 0.000205 0.000222 0.000240 0.000261
2024-10-27 0.000145 0.000164 0.000185 0.000210 0.000241 0.000276 0.000320
2024-11-03 0.000130 0.000150 0.000174 0.000205 0.000243 0.000289 0.000351
2024-11-10 0.000119 0.000141 0.000168 0.000202 0.000247 0.000303 0.000382
2024-11-17 0.000110 0.000133 0.000161 0.000198 0.000248 0.000314 0.000409
2024-11-24 0.000104 0.000128 0.000158 0.000198 0.000254 0.000330 0.000445
2024-12-01 0.000099 0.000123 0.000154 0.000198 0.000259 0.000345 0.000480
2024-12-08 0.000096 0.000120 0.000153 0.000200 0.000267 0.000365 0.000525
2024-12-15 0.000091 0.000116 0.000149 0.000197 0.000268 0.000375 0.000554
2024-12-22 0.000087 0.000112 0.000146 0.000197 0.000273 0.000390 0.000593
2024-12-29 0.000085 0.000110 0.000145 0.000198 0.000280 0.000409 0.000641
2025-01-05 0.000083 0.000109 0.000145 0.000201 0.000289 0.000431 0.000697
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000105 0.000141 0.000198 0.000290 0.000442 0.000735
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000104 0.000142 0.000203 0.000303 0.000475 0.000822
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000099 0.000137 0.000198 0.000300 0.000478 0.000850
2025-02-02 0.000070 0.000096 0.000133 0.000195 0.000300 0.000488 0.000892
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000093 0.000130 0.000191 0.000299 0.000494 0.000927
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000091 0.000128 0.000191 0.000304 0.000513 0.000993
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000089 0.000126 0.000191 0.000307 0.000529 0.001056
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000193 0.000315 0.000556 0.001150
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000085 0.000123 0.000190 0.000315 0.000564 0.001199
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000083 0.000122 0.000190 0.000319 0.000584 0.001280
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000082 0.000121 0.000191 0.000326 0.000610 0.001385